[1]田莉,黄安,李永浮.治理维度下城市复杂性系统研究的优化与实践应用[J].南京师大学报(社会科学版),2023,(03):125-137.
 TIAN Li,HUANG An,LI Yongfu.Optimization and Application of the Complex System Research Model from the Perspective of Urban Governance[J].Journal of Nanjing Normal University (Social Science Edition),2023,(03):125-137.
点击复制

治理维度下城市复杂性系统研究的优化与实践应用
分享到:

《南京师大学报》(社会科学版)[ISSN:1006-6977/CN:61-1281/TN]

卷:
期数:
2023年03期
页码:
125-137
栏目:
管理学研究
出版日期:
2023-06-25

文章信息/Info

Title:
Optimization and Application of the Complex System Research Model from the Perspective of Urban Governance
作者:
田莉黄安李永浮
Author(s):
TIAN Li HUANG An LI Yongfu
关键词:
复杂性系统系统动力学社会-生态系统北京住房治理
Keywords:
complex system system dynamics social-ecological system rental housing in Beijing governance
摘要:
城市属于典型的复杂性系统,多要素、多层级的子系统及其之间的复杂关系是其特征,这种复杂性为城市决策带来了挑战。本文首先回顾复杂性科学研究的起源、发展及在各个学科领域的应用,对城市复杂性系统进行了解构与剖析,将社会-生态系统(Social-ecological System, SES)的治理框架与系统动力学(System Dynamic,SD)模型相结合,提出了城市复杂性系统模拟的SDES框架。同时,以北京住房复杂性系统为例,采用SDES模型,对租赁住房发展的不同情景进行模拟,并对不同干预情景下的“成本-收益”进行分析,以为住房政策的选择提供决策依据。
Abstract:
Urban complex system has been characterized by the coupled relationships among multiple elements, and multi-dimension sub-systems; however, the application of urban complex system has many shortcomings. This paper begins with the origin, evolution of complex system research, and its application in social science and natural science fields. Then it deconstructs the elements of urban complex system, builds the SDES framework, a complex system framework of urban complex system simulation through linking system dynamic(SD)modelling and social-economic framework(SES). By taking Beijing housing system as a case, this research simulates the different governance scenarios of rental housing development through adopting the complex system. Moreover, it establishes a cost-benefit framework to identify the most cost-effective policies of increasing rental housing provision.

参考文献/References:

段汉明、杨大伟,2007:《城市系统复杂性的数学描述初探》,《人文地理》第3期。
范冬萍,2020:《探索复杂性的系统哲学与系统思维》,《现代哲学》第4期。
刘小平、黎夏、艾彬等,2006:《基于多智能体的土地利用模拟与规划模型》,《地理学报》第10期。
牟新娣、李秀婷、董纪昌等,2020:《基于系统动力学的我国住房需求仿真研究》,《管理评论》第6期。
仇保兴,2016:《城市规划学新理性主义思想初探:复杂自适应系统(CAS)视角》,《南方建筑》第5期。
王其藩,2009:《系统动力学》(修订版),上海:上海财经大学出版社。
闫曼娇、陈利根、兰民均,2022:《供需系统视角下北京市集体土地建设租赁住房政策效果仿真研究》,《中国土地科学》第2期。
赵佳佳,2021:《当代科学主体认知范式的复杂性转向——基于埃德加·莫兰的复杂性思想》,《系统科学学报》第1期。
郑生钦、徐可,2018:《基于系统动力学的住房租赁市场多主体协同演化仿真分析》,《工程管理学报》第6期。
Arthur,W.B.,E.D.Beinhocker & A.Stanger (eds.),2020,Complexity Economics:Proceedings of the Santa Fe Institute's 2019 Fall Symposium (Dialogues of the Applied Complexity Network I),Santa Fe,NM:The SFI Press.
Arthur,W.B.,2021,“Foundations of complexity economics”,Nature Reviews Physics,Vol.3,No.2,pp.136-145.
Batty,M.,2018,Inventing Future Cities,Cambridge MA:MIT press.
Flood,R.L.,1987,“Complexity:A definition by construction of a conceptual framework”,Systems Research,Vol.4,No.3,pp.177-185.
Forrester J. W.,1969,Urban Dynamics,Cambridge MA:MIT Press.
Gell-Mann,M.,1997,“The simple and the complex”,in D.S.Alberts & T.J.Czerwinski (eds.),Complexity,Global Politics,and National Security,Washington,DC:National Defense University,pp.3-28.
Hidalgo C.A.,2021,Economic complexity theory and applications,Nature Reviews Physics,Vol.3,No.2,pp.92-113.
Holland,J.H.,1996,Hidden Order:How Adaptation Builds Complexity,Cambridge,MA:Perseus Books.
Hopkins,L.D.,2001,Urban Development:The Logic of Making Plans,Washington,DC:Island Press.
Houballah,M.,T.Cordonnier & J.Mathias,2020,“Which infrastructures for which forest function? Analyzing multifunctionality through the social-ecological system framework”,Ecology and Society,Vol.25,No.1,pp.22-41.
Jackson,M.C.,2016,Systems Thinking:Creative Holism for Managers,Hoboben,NJ:John Wiley & Sons,Inc.
Kauffman,S.& S.Levin,1987,“Towards a general theory of adaptive walks on rugged landscapes”,Journal of theoretical Biology,Vol.128,No.1,pp.11-45.
Miller J.H. & Pagem S.E .,2009,Complex adaptive systems: An introduction to computational models of social life,Princeton: Princeton University Press.
Morin,E.& D.Bergadá,1978,El paradigma perdido:el paraíso olvidado,Guatemala City:Kairós.
Ostrom,E.,2009,“A general framework for analyzing sustainability of Social-Ecological Systems”,Science,Vol.325,No.5939,pp.419-422.
Prigogine,I.& I.Stengers,2018,Order Out of Chaos:Man's New Dialogue with Nature,London:Verso Books.
Watts,D.J.,2004,“The ‘new’ science of networks”,Annual Review of Sociology,Vol.30,pp.243-270.

备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
田莉,经济学博士,清华大学教授、博士生导师,自然资源部智慧人居环境与空间规划治理中心主任,清华大学建筑学院土地利用与住房政策研究中心主任(北京100084);黄安,土地资源管理博士,西安建筑科技大学公共管理学院副教授(西安710055);李永浮,通讯作者,城乡规划学博士,上海大学上海美术学院建筑系教授、博士生导师(上海200444)。本文系北京卓越青年科学家计划(JJWZYJH01201910003010)、国家自然科学基金(42201272)和西安建筑科技大学科研启动项目的阶段性研究成果。
更新日期/Last Update: 2023-06-25