腐败与中国式经济增长 ——兼论腐败治理的社会基础-《南京师大学报》（社会科学版）

文章信息/Info

Title:: Corruption and Chinese Economic Growth: Social Basis for Corruption Control

摘要:: 本文基于中国31个省域2002—2011年的面板数据,对中国腐败问题的影响因素及其与经济增长的相互作用进行了理论分析和实证检验。分析结果表明:公民受教育程度、公职人员工资水平对腐败的影响是一致而显著的,但财政分权、政府规模、地区投资水平与GDP增长率等变量对腐败程度的影响是不一致或不显著的; 中国的高速经济增长主要来源于人口红利带来的人力资本增长和改革开放带来的固定资本投资的上升,绝非腐败的拉动使然; 腐败与中国经济增长之间的关系是复杂而微妙的,二者并不存在显著的计量关系,更无必然的因果联系。最后,本文有针对性地提出腐败治理的政策建议,否定了依赖正式制度改革的“制度万能论”的腐败治理思路,认为只依赖正式制度的改革来治理腐败是不够的,教育和宗教等非正式制度的教化作用在腐败治理的过程中也不容忽视。

Abstract:: Based on the panel data of China’s 31 provinces during 2002-2011, we conducted a theoretical analysis of and an empirical testing on factors which affect China’s corruption and the relationship between its corruption and economic growth. Our results show that: on the one hand, the impact of people’s education level and public servants’ income on China’s corruption is consistent and significant; on the other hand, fiscal decentralization, the size of government, the level of investment and GDP growth rate have inconsistent and insignificant effects on corruption. China’s rapid economic growth comes mainly from human capital growth driven by the demographic dividend and the increase of fixed capital investment which arises from reform and opening up rather than corruption. The relationship between China’s corruption and economic growth is highly complex. There is no significant econometric relationship between them, not to mention a bound causality. In the final section, we will offer some policy recommendations for fighting corruption. Abandoning the theory of regarding reform-based institutionalized mechanisms as panacea, which is insufficient for controlling corruption, we argue that the educational roles played by such non-institutionalized mechanisms as education and religion for fighting corruption cannot be ignored.